The municipal bond market has begun the year with a negative total return—but this could be good news for investors looking for an entry point. Interest rates are rising along with the stock market on reopening optimism and substantial federal spending. The municipal market has been strongly supported with stimulus over the last year—a trend that looks to continue, providing a tailwind to both credit fundamentals and valuations. And while there are no clear details on how President Joe Biden’s infrastructure plan will affect municipal issuers just yet, it’s possible for the return of advance refunding deals and infrastructure-related issuance to be a catalyst for considerably higher supply in the future.
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